Early posttransplant serum osteoprotegerin levels predict long-term (8-year) patient survival and cardiovascular death in renal transplant patients

J Am Soc Nephrol. 2006 Jun;17(6):1746-54. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2005121368. Epub 2006 May 10.

Abstract

The primary objectives of this analysis were to examine the effects of early posttransplantation (10 wk) serum levels of osteoprotegerin (OPG), mannose-binding lectin (MBL), and MBL-associated serine proteases (MASP; MASP-2 and MASP-3) on long-term (8-yr) patient survival, graft survival, and cardiovascular (CV) death. During a period of 16 mo (1995 to 1996), a total of 173 consecutive renal transplant recipients without diabetes before transplantation were included in a prospective study that was designed to address the impact of metabolic CV risk factors on survival and CV end points. Baseline sera from 172 patients were available for analysis. Follow-up data until January 1, 2004, were obtained from a national renal registry. Patients with high (fourth quartile) serum levels of OPG had significantly higher all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 6.3; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.3 to 11.8; P<0.001) and CV death (HR 10.8; 95% CI 3.8 to 30.4; P<0.001) than patients with lower OPG concentrations. After multiple Cox regression analysis, high serum levels of OPG remained an independent predictor of all-cause mortality (HR 6.0; 95% CI 3.1 to 11.6, P<0.001) and CV death (HR 8.2; 95% CI 2.5 to 26.4; P<0.001). Multiple linear regression analysis revealed that age, creatinine clearance, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein all were independently associated with OPG (R2=0.42). No significant association between OPG and death-censored graft loss was revealed. Serum levels of MBL, MASP-2, and MASP-3 were not significantly associated with patient survival, CV death, or graft loss. Early measured posttransplantation serum OPG is a highly significant independent predictor of death from any cause or CV death in white renal transplant recipients.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / mortality*
  • Female
  • Graft Survival
  • Humans
  • Kidney Transplantation / methods*
  • Linear Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Osteoprotegerin / blood*
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Registries
  • Time Factors
  • Treatment Outcome

Substances

  • Osteoprotegerin