Risk prediction in chest pain patients by biochemical markers including estimates of renal function

Int J Cardiol. 2008 Aug 18;128(2):207-13. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2007.04.096. Epub 2007 Jul 27.

Abstract

Background: Early risk stratification of patients with chest pain may be improved by combining cardiac Troponin I (cTnI) results and ECG findings with markers of left-ventricular dysfunction, inflammation or renal function.

Methods: Serial measurements of cTnI were prospectively performed in 452 chest pain patients with a non-diagnostic ECG for AMI and admitted to the coronary care unit. NT-pro BNP, CRP, cystatin C and creatinine-clearance were retrospectively analyzed in admission samples. The prognostic value of these markers alone and in different combinations together with ECG findings was evaluated by multivariate logistic regression models.

Results: During follow-up, 14 deaths and 21 myocardial (re)-infarctions occurred. Independent predictors for the combined endpoint of death or (re)-infarction were peak cTnI >or=0.1 microg/L within 24 h (OR 3.9; 95% confidence interval [CI]1.5-10.4), cystatin C >or=1.28 mg/L (OR 5.6; 95% CI 1.9-16.3) and NT-pro BNP >or=550 ng/L (OR 2.7; 95% CI 1.0-7.3). At 2 h from admission, a combination of cTnI >or=0.1 microg/L, an abnormal ECG and NT-pro BNP or cystatin C as a third variable resulted in a similar stratification of patients to different risk groups.

Conclusion: cTnI, NT-pro BNP and cystatin C are strong risk predictors in patients with chest pain. For pragmatic reasons, a combination of cTnI >or=0.1 microg/L, ECG findings and a marker of renal function, preferably cystatin C, appears to be most appropriate for early risk stratification of these patients.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Biomarkers / blood*
  • C-Reactive Protein / metabolism
  • Chest Pain / diagnosis*
  • Creatinine / blood
  • Cystatin C
  • Cystatins / blood
  • Female
  • Heart Function Tests*
  • Humans
  • Kidney Function Tests*
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Myocardial Infarction / epidemiology
  • Myocardial Infarction / mortality
  • Myocardial Infarction / prevention & control*
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain / blood
  • Peptide Fragments / blood
  • ROC Curve
  • Recurrence
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Troponin I / blood

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • CST3 protein, human
  • Cystatin C
  • Cystatins
  • Peptide Fragments
  • Troponin I
  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain
  • C-Reactive Protein
  • Creatinine