Risk stratification and prognosis in octogenarians undergoing stress echocardiographic study

Echocardiography. 2007 Sep;24(8):851-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-8175.2007.00482.x.

Abstract

Background: The prognostic value of stress echocardiography (SE) for the diagnosis and risk stratification of coronary artery disease in octogenarians is not well defined.

Methods: Follow-up of 5 years (mean 2.9 +/- 1.0 years) for confirmed nonfatal myocardial infarction (n = 17) and cardiac death (n = 37) was obtained in 335 patients, age > or =80 years (mean age 84 +/- 3 years, 44% male), undergoing SE (33% treadmill, 67% dobutamine). Left ventricular (LV) regional wall motion was assessed by a consensus of two echocardiographers and scored as per standard five-point scale, 16-segment model of wall motion analysis. Ischemic LV wall segment was defined as deterioration in the thickening and excursion during stress (increase in wall-motion score index (WMSI) > or =1).

Results: By univariate analysis, inducible ischemia (chi-square = 38.4, P < 0.001), left ventricular ejection fraction (chi-square = 41.2, P < 0.001), a history of previous myocardial infarction (chi-square = 22.3, P < 0.01), hypertension (chi-square = 33, P < 0.01), and age (chi-square = 27.7, P < 0.01) were significant predictors of future cardiac events. WMSI, an index of inducible ischemia, provided incremental prognostic information when forced into a multivariable model where clinical and rest echocardiography variables were entered first. WMSI effectively stratified octogenarians into low- and high-risk groups (annualized event rates of 1.2 versus 5.8%/year, P < 0.001).

Conclusions: Stress echocardiography yields incremental prognostic information in octogenarians and effectively stratifies them into low- and high-risk groups. Precise therapeutic decision making in very elderly patients should incorporate combined clinical and stress echocardiography data.

MeSH terms

  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Coronary Disease / diagnostic imaging*
  • Echocardiography, Stress*
  • Exercise Test
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Risk Assessment