Objective: Umbilical cord acid-base analysis is fundamental for assessing intrapartum hypoxia. The accuracy of arterial umbilical cord blood lactate, pH and base deficit to reflect a low 5-minute Apgar score and hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) stage 2-3 was assessed, and new gestational age-adjusted reference standards were compared with traditional stationary reference values.
Design and sample: A total of 13,735 pH-validated routine cord acid-base values from singleton deliveries were tested with stationary and gestational age-adjusted reference values using receiver operating characteristic curves and calculation of area under curve.
Setting: University hospital.
Main outcome measures: Accuracy of low pH, high base deficit and high lactate, alone or in combination, to imply 5-minute Apgar score < 7 or < 4 or HIE.
Results: Gestational age-adjusted values were for all parameters significantly better than crude values to indicate Apgar score < 7. For Apgar score < 4, the differences were not significant. The frequency of HIE was 0.046%, making statistical analyses pointless. Gestational age-adjusted lactate had the overall best accuracy and among combinations; a low age-adjusted pH plus high age-adjusted lactate was slightly better than a low age-adjusted pH plus high age-adjusted base deficit. The sensitivity and positive predictive value were low for all parameters.
Conclusions: Lactate in cord arterial blood at birth is at least as good as base deficit to reflect an impaired condition at birth, and best when gestational age-adjusted values are used. Due to methodological confounding involved in calculation of base deficit, lactate may replace base deficit as an acid-base outcome parameter at birth.