Background and purpose: The risk of ischemic stroke in patients with asymptomatic vertebral artery stenosis is unknown. We examined the incidence of posterior circulation ischemic stroke in patients with asymptomatic stenosis of the vertebral artery origin (VAo).
Methods: We studied a hospital-based cohort of 3717 patients (median age, 60 years; interquartile range, 52 to 68 years) with atherosclerotic arterial disease enrolled in the Second Manifestations of ARTerial disease (SMART) study. We included patients in whom duplex ultrasound of the carotid artery and vertebral artery had been performed. Patients with symptomatic VAo stenosis or planned revascularization of the carotid artery or vertebral artery were excluded. Data were analyzed with Cox regression; hazard ratios were adjusted for age and vascular risk factors.
Results: In 282 patients (7.6%), asymptomatic VAo stenosis>50% was diagnosed with duplex ultrasound. During a mean follow-up of 4.6 years (SD, 3.0), posterior circulation ischemic stroke occurred in 5 of the 282 patients with asymptomatic VAo stenosis at baseline (annual stroke rate, 0.4%) and in 12 of the 3435 patients without VAo stenosis (annual stroke rate, <0.1%). The risk of posterior circulation ischemic stroke was higher in patients with VAo stenosis than in patients without VAo stenosis (hazard ratio, 4.2; 95% CI, 1.4 to 13.1) and was further increased in patients with both VAo and carotid artery stenosis (hazard ratio, 10.5; 95% CI, 3.0 to 37.3). In multivariable analysis, this risk remained essentially the same.
Conclusions: Patients with atherosclerotic arterial disease and asymptomatic VAo stenosis have a higher risk of posterior circulation ischemic stroke than patients without such a stenosis, but the absolute risk remains low.