Background: A microsatellite instability (MSI) phenotype is found in about 12% of colorectal cancers (CRCs) and is associated with a low recurrence rate after curative surgery. Several studies have identified clinical and pathological factors predictive of recurrence in resected CRC, but not in the MSI subgroup.
Patients and methods: This multicentre retrospective study included patients with stage I, II or III MSI CRCs. Disease-free survival (DFS) was calculated with the Kaplan-Meier method. Factors associated with DFS were identified in univariate and multivariate Cox analyses.
Results: We studied 521 patients with MSI CRC. Respectively 11%, 51% and 38% of patients were at stage I, II and III. Mean age was 68.7years and 36% of the patients received adjuvant chemotherapy. Median follow-up was 32.8months. The disease recurrence rates were 6% and 21% in stage II and III patients, respectively. The 3-year DFS rate was 77%. In univariate analysis, age, bowel obstruction, lymph node invasion, stage T4, vascular emboli, lymphatic invasion and perinervous invasion were associated with poorer DFS (P<0.05). Three relevant independent predictors of poor DFS were identified in multivariate analysis, namely bowel obstruction (HR=2.46; 95%CI 1.31-4.62, P=0.005), vascular emboli (HR=2.79; 95%CI 1.74-4.47, P<0.001) and stage T4 (HR=2.16; 95%CI 1.31-3.56, P=0.002).
Conclusions: Bowel obstruction, vascular emboli and stage T4 are independently associated with MSI CRC recurrence, suggesting that screening for vascular emboli in routine clinical practice may assist with adjuvant chemotherapy decision-making.
Keywords: Colorectal cancer; Microsatellite instability; Prognosis; Surgery; Vascular emboli.
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