Bayley-III motor scale and neurological examination at 2 years do not predict motor skills at 4.5 years

Dev Med Child Neurol. 2017 Feb;59(2):216-223. doi: 10.1111/dmcn.13232. Epub 2016 Aug 20.

Abstract

Aim: To determine whether Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development (3rd edition) (Bayley-III) motor scores and neurological examination at 2 years corrected age predict motor difficulties at 4.5 years corrected age.

Method: A prospective cohort study of children born at risk of neonatal hypoglycaemia in Waikato Hospital, Hamilton, New Zealand. Assessment at 2 years was performed using the Bayley-III motor scale and neurological examination, and at 4.5 years using the Movement Assessment Battery for Children (2nd edition) (MABC-2).

Results: Of 333 children, 8 (2%) had Bayley-III motor scores below 85, and 50 (15%) had minor deficits on neurological assessment at 2 years; 89 (27%) scored less than or equal to the 15th centile, and 54 (16%) less than or equal to the 5th centile on MABC-2 at 4.5 years. Motor score, fine and gross motor subtest scores, and neurological assessments at 2 years were poorly predictive of motor difficulties at 4.5 years, explaining 0 to 7% of variance in MABC-2 scores. A Bayley-III motor score below 85 predicted MABC-2 scores less than or equal to the 15th centile with a positive predictive value of 30% and a negative predictive value of 74% (7% sensitivity and 94% specificity).

Interpretation: Bayley-III motor scale and neurological examination at 2 years were poorly predictive of motor difficulties at 4.5 years.

MeSH terms

  • Child Development*
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cohort Studies
  • Developmental Disabilities / diagnosis*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Linear Models
  • Male
  • Motor Skills / physiology*
  • Movement
  • Neurologic Examination*
  • Neuropsychological Tests