The cost-effectiveness of HLA-B*5801 screening to guide initial urate-lowering therapy for gout in the United States

Semin Arthritis Rheum. 2017 Apr;46(5):594-600. doi: 10.1016/j.semarthrit.2016.10.009. Epub 2016 Nov 1.

Abstract

Objective: Positive HLA-B*5801 carriers are at greater risk of experiencing rare but severe allopurinol hypersensitivity syndrome (AHS) [i.e., Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) and toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN)]; however, HLA-B*5801 prevalence and AHS risk vary by race/ethnicity. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of HLA-B*5801 testing according to race/ethnicity in the United States.

Methods: We determined the cost-effectiveness of universal testing for HLA-B*5801 compared to no testing prior to the initiation of allopurinol per US major race/ethnicity groups. Using US-specific data, SJS/TEN risks and HLA-B*5801 prevalences were modeled per race/ethnicity (i.e., 1/3846 and 0.7% among Caucasians and Hispanics, 1/735 and 3.8% among African Americans, and 1/336 and 7.4% among Asians, respectively). Those who tested positive for HLA-B*5801 received febuxostat. Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were estimated over a lifetime.

Results: Compared to no testing, universal testing for HLA-B*5801 costs more and was more effective for all races/ethnicities. The ICERs varied substantially across racial/ethnic groups, following their HLA-B*5801 prevalences. HLA-B*5801 testing was cost-effective for African Americans (ICER $83,450) and Asians (ICER $64,190), but not for Caucasians or Hispanics (ICER $183,720), using accepted US willingness-to-pay threshold ($109,000/QALY). Results were robust in sensitivity analyses, except that reducing the risk of SJS/TEN by a half made testing not cost-effective for all races/ethnicities.

Conclusion: Testing for HLA-B*5801 prior to allopurinol initiation is cost-effective for Asians and African Americans, but not for Caucasians or Hispanics in the United States. Reducing AHS risk by other predictive measures could make HLA-B*5801 testing not cost-effective even among Asians and Blacks.

Keywords: Economic evaluations; Gout; Outcomes research.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Allopurinol / adverse effects*
  • Asian
  • Black or African American
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis*
  • Female
  • Genetic Markers
  • Genetic Testing / economics*
  • Gout / drug therapy*
  • Gout Suppressants / adverse effects*
  • HLA-B51 Antigen / economics
  • HLA-B51 Antigen / genetics*
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Risk Factors
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Stevens-Johnson Syndrome / ethnology
  • Stevens-Johnson Syndrome / genetics
  • Stevens-Johnson Syndrome / prevention & control
  • United States
  • Uric Acid

Substances

  • Genetic Markers
  • Gout Suppressants
  • HLA-B51 Antigen
  • Uric Acid
  • Allopurinol