Cumulative Probability and Time to Reintubation in U.S. ICUs

Crit Care Med. 2017 May;45(5):835-842. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000002327.

Abstract

Objective: Reintubation after liberation from mechanical ventilation is viewed as an adverse event in ICUs. We sought to describe the frequency of reintubations across U.S. ICUs and to propose a standard, appropriate time cutoff for reporting of reintubation events.

Design and setting: We conducted a cohort study using data from the Project IMPACT database of 185 diverse ICUs in the United States.

Patients: We included patients who received mechanical ventilation and excluded patients who received a tracheostomy, had a do-not-resuscitate order placed, or died prior to first extubation.

Measurements and main results: We assessed the percentage of patients extubated who were reintubated; the cumulative probability of reintubation, with death and do-not-resuscitate orders after extubation modeled as competing risks, and time to reintubation. Among 98,367 patients who received mechanical ventilation without death or tracheostomy prior to extubation, 9,907 (10.1%) were reintubated, with a cumulative probability of 10.0%. Median time to reintubation was 15 hours (interquartile range, 2-45 hr). Of patients who required reintubation in the ICU, 90% did so within the first 96 hours after initial extubation; this was consistent across various patient subtypes (89.3% for electives surgical patients up to 94.8% for trauma patients) and ICU subtypes (88.6% for cardiothoracic ICUs to 93.5% for medical ICUs).

Conclusions: The reintubation rate for ICU patients liberated from mechanical ventilation in U.S. ICUs is approximately 10%. We propose a time cutoff of 96 hours for reintubation definitions and benchmarking efforts, as it captures 90% of ICU reintubation events. Reintubation rates can be reported as simple percentages, without regard for deaths or changes in goals of care that might occur.

MeSH terms

  • APACHE
  • Aged
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Intensive Care Units / statistics & numerical data*
  • Intubation, Intratracheal / statistics & numerical data*
  • Length of Stay / statistics & numerical data
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Probability
  • Respiration, Artificial / statistics & numerical data*
  • Resuscitation Orders
  • Risk Factors
  • Time Factors
  • United States
  • Ventilator Weaning / statistics & numerical data