Obtaining quantitative chemical information using laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy is challenging due to the variability in the bulk composition of geological materials. Chemical matrix effects caused by this variability produce changes in the peak area that are not proportional to the changes in minor element concentration. Therefore the use of univariate calibrations to predict trace element concentrations in geological samples is plagued by a high degree of uncertainty. This work evaluated the accuracy of univariate minor element predictions as a function of the composition of the major element matrices of the samples and examined the factors that limit the prediction accuracy of univariate calibrations. Five different sample matrices were doped with 10-85 000 ppm Cr, Mn, Ni, Zn, and Co and then independently measured in 175 mixtures by X-ray fluorescence, inductively coupled plasma atomic emission spectrometry, and laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy, the latter at three different laser energies (1.9, 2.8, and 3.7 mJ). Univariate prediction models for minor element concentrations were created using varying combinations of dopants, matrices, normalization/no normalization, and energy density; the model accuracies were evaluated using root mean square prediction errors and leave-one-out cross-validation. The results showed the superiority of using normalization for predictions of minor elements when the predicted sample and those in the training set had matrices with similar SiO2 contents. Normalization also mitigates differences in spectra arising from laser/sample coupling effects and the use of different energy densities. Prediction of minor elements in matrices that are dissimilar to those in the training set can increase the uncertainty of prediction by an order of magnitude. Overall, the quality of a univariate calibration is primarily determined by the availability of a persistent, measurable peak with a favorable transition probability that has little to no interference from neighboring peaks in the spectra of both the unknown and those used to train it.
Keywords: Co; Cr; LIBS; Laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy; Mn; Ni; Zn; matrix effects; minor elements; univariate calibration.