Waitlist mortality and post-transplant survival in patients with cholestatic liver disease - Impact of changes in allocation policy

Abstract

Background: This study investigated the impact of Model of end-stage liver disease (MELD)-score introduction (MELDi) on waitlist mortality and post-liver transplant (LT) survival in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) and primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC).

Methods: LT candidates with PSC or PBC listed between January 1983 and March 2016 were included and followed until December 2016. After MELDi in 2004, PBC patients were listed according to labMELD, PSC patients according to the highest MELD during active cholangitis (chMELD).

Results: In total, 100 PBC and 76 PSC patients were included. Waitlist mortality in PBC was significantly higher than in PSC (16% vs. 5.3%, p = 0.031), whereas PSC patients were significantly more often withdrawn from the waitlist due to improved condition (3.0% vs. 13.2%, p = 0.017). Competing risks analysis identified MELDi (HR = 4.12) and PBC (HR = 2.95) as significant predictors of waitlist mortality. Yet, overall 10 y-patient survival increased after MELDi by 18.8% leading to a 1 y-, 5 y-, and 10 y-patient survival of 98.2%, 70.6% and 70.6% in PBC, and 83.3%, 83.3%, and 80.6% in PSC, respectively.

Conclusions: PSC patients showed significantly lower waitlist mortality irrespective of MELDi, whereas in PBC waitlist mortality further increased after MELDi. Utility of MELD and chMELD did not impair post LT outcome.