Prediction of incident hypertension and arterial stiffness using the non-insulin-based metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR) index

J Clin Hypertens (Greenwich). 2019 Aug;21(8):1063-1070. doi: 10.1111/jch.13614. Epub 2019 Jul 18.

Abstract

Hypertension is associated with insulin resistance (IR), metabolic syndrome (MS), and arterial stiffness. Non-insulin-based IR indexes were developed as tools for metabolic screening. Here, we aimed to evaluate the novel non-insulin-based Metabolic Score for IR (METS-IR) index for the prediction of incident hypertension and arterial stiffness evaluated using pulse wave velocity (PWV) analysis, compared with other non-insulin-based IR indexes. We evaluated two populations, a cross-sectional evaluation of high-risk individuals (n = 305) with a wide range of metabolic comorbidities and dyslipidemia in whom PWV measurement was performed and a 3-year prospective cohort of normotensive individuals (N = 6850). We observed a positive correlation between METS-IR and PWV in the cross-sectional cohort, which was higher compared with other non-insulin-based fasting IR indexes; furthermore, PWV values >75th percentile were associated with the upper tercile of METS-IR values. In the prospective cohort, we observed an increased risk for incident hypertension for the upper METS-IR tercile (METS-IR ≥ 46.42; HR: 1.81, 95% CI: 1.41-2.34), adjusted for known cardiovascular risk factors, and observed that METS-IR had greater increases in the predictive capacity for hypertension along with SBP and the Framingham Hypertension Risk Prediction Model compared with other non-insulin-based IR indexes. Therefore, METS-IR is a novel non-insulin-based IR index which correlates with arterial stiffness and is a predictor of incident hypertension, complementary to previously validated risk prediction models.

Keywords: METS-IR; cardiovascular risk; incident hypertension; insulin resistance; pulse wave velocity.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Blood Pressure / physiology
  • Body Mass Index
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / epidemiology
  • Cardiovascular Diseases / etiology
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Comorbidity
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Dyslipidemias / complications
  • Dyslipidemias / diagnosis
  • Fasting / metabolism
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / epidemiology
  • Hypertension / physiopathology*
  • Incidence
  • Insulin Resistance / physiology*
  • Male
  • Metabolic Syndrome / physiopathology*
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prospective Studies
  • Pulse Wave Analysis / methods
  • Risk Factors
  • Vascular Stiffness / physiology*