The inference of sex-biased human demography from whole-genome data

PLoS Genet. 2019 Sep 20;15(9):e1008293. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgen.1008293. eCollection 2019 Sep.

Abstract

Sex-biased demographic events ("sex-bias") involve unequal numbers of females and males. These events are typically inferred from the relative amount of X-chromosomal to autosomal genetic variation and have led to conflicting conclusions about human demographic history. Though population size changes alter the relative amount of X-chromosomal to autosomal genetic diversity even in the absence of sex-bias, this has generally not been accounted for in sex-bias estimators to date. Here, we present a novel method to identify sex-bias from genetic sequence data that models population size changes and estimates the female fraction of the effective population size during each time epoch. Compared to recent sex-bias inference methods, our approach can detect sex-bias that changes on a single population branch without requiring data from an outgroup or knowledge of divergence events. When applied to simulated data, conventional sex-bias estimators are biased by population size changes, especially recent growth or bottlenecks, while our estimator is unbiased. We next apply our method to high-coverage exome data from the 1000 Genomes Project and estimate a male bias in Yorubans (47% female) and Europeans (44%), possibly due to stronger background selection on the X chromosome than on the autosomes. Finally, we apply our method to the 1000 Genomes Project Phase 3 high-coverage Complete Genomics whole-genome data and estimate a female bias in Yorubans (63% female), Europeans (84%), Punjabis (82%), as well as Peruvians (56%), and a male bias in the Southern Han Chinese (45%). Our method additionally identifies a male-biased migration out of Africa based on data from Europeans (20% female). Our results demonstrate that modeling population size change is necessary to estimate sex-bias parameters accurately. Our approach gives insight into signatures of sex-bias in sexual species, and the demographic models it produces can serve as more accurate null models for tests of selection.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • Bias
  • Chromosomes, Human, X / genetics
  • Demography / methods*
  • Female
  • Genetic Variation / genetics
  • Genetics, Population / methods*
  • Genome / genetics
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Models, Genetic
  • Population Density
  • Selection, Genetic / genetics
  • Sequence Analysis, DNA / methods*
  • Whole Genome Sequencing / methods