Aims: To assess the prevalence and clinical implications of "mismatches" between HbA1c and glucose levels in the United States across the life course.
Methods: Participants ages 12-79 years from U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2016 without known diagnosis of diabetes and who had a 75 g oral glucose tolerance test were included. Previously undiagnosed diabetes (DM), prediabetes, and normal glucose metabolism (NGM) were defined using American Diabetes Association cut-points. Mismatches were defined by the hemoglobin glycation index (HGI).
Results: In 10,361 participants, 5% and 41% had diabetes and prediabetes, respectively, by fasting or 2-hour glucose criteria. By HbA1c criteria, the high HGI tertile consisted of mostly abnormal classification (3% DM, 52% prediabetes) and the low HGI tertile contained mostly normal classification (78% NGM). Across all ages, 15% (weighted: 30 million individuals) had clinically significant mismatches of HGI magnitude ≥+0.5% (i.e., high mismatch) or ≤-0.5% (low mismatch). Mismatch was most common in older adults and non-Hispanic Black participants.
Conclusions: Mismatches of clinically significant magnitude could lead to HbA1c-related misdiagnosis or inappropriate management in up to 30 million Americans. Older adults, non-Hispanic Black individuals, and others with high mismatches may benefit from complementing HbA1c with additional diagnostic and management strategies.
Keywords: Diagnosis; HbA1c; United States.
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