Polygenic Risk Score and Statin Relative Risk Reduction for Primary Prevention of Myocardial Infarction in a Real-World Population

Abstract

Genetic substudies of randomized controlled trials demonstrate that high coronary heart disease (CHD) polygenic risk score modifies statin CHD relative risk reduction; it is unknown if the association extends to statin users undergoing routine care. We sought to determine how statin effectiveness is modified by CHD polygenic risk score in a real-world cohort of participants without previous myocardial infarction. We determined CHD polygenic risk scores in participants of the Genetic Epidemiology Research on Adult Health and Aging (GERA) cohort. Covariate-adjusted Cox regression models were used to compare the risk of cardiovascular outcomes between statin users and matched nonusers. Statin effectiveness on incident myocardial infarction showed no gradient with increasing 10-year Pooled Cohort Equations atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk across low, borderline, intermediate, and high ASCVD risk score groups. In contrast, statin effectiveness by polygenic risk was largest in the high polygenic risk score group (hazard ratio (HR) 0.41, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.31-0.53; P = 1.5E-11), intermediate in the intermediate polygenic risk score group (HR 0.56, 95% CI, 0.47-0.66; P = 8.4E-12), and smallest in the low polygenic risk score group (HR 0.67, 95% CI, 0.47-0.97; P = 0.03; P for high vs. low = 0.01). ASCVD risk and statin low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering did not differ across polygenic risk score groups. In patients undergoing routine care, CHD polygenic risk modified statin relative risk reduction of incident myocardial infarction independent of LDL-C lowering. Our findings extend prior work by identifying a subset (i.e., self-identified White individuals with low CHD polygenic risk scores) with attenuated clinical benefit from statins.