Dynamics of a national Omicron SARS-CoV-2 epidemic during January 2022 in England

Nat Commun. 2022 Aug 3;13(1):4500. doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-32121-6.

Abstract

Rapid transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant has led to record-breaking case incidence rates around the world. Since May 2020, the REal-time Assessment of Community Transmission-1 (REACT-1) study tracked the spread of SARS-CoV-2 infection in England through RT-PCR of self-administered throat and nose swabs from randomly-selected participants aged 5 years and over. In January 2022, we found an overall weighted prevalence of 4.41% (n = 102,174), three-fold higher than in November to December 2021; we sequenced 2,374 (99.2%) Omicron infections (19 BA.2), and only 19 (0.79%) Delta, with a growth rate advantage for BA.2 compared to BA.1 or BA.1.1. Prevalence was decreasing overall (reproduction number R = 0.95, 95% credible interval [CrI], 0.93, 0.97), but increasing in children aged 5 to 17 years (R = 1.13, 95% CrI, 1.09, 1.18). In England during January 2022, we observed unprecedented levels of SARS-CoV-2 infection, especially among children, driven by almost complete replacement of Delta by Omicron.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Base Sequence
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Child
  • England / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • SARS-CoV-2*
  • Specimen Handling

Supplementary concepts

  • SARS-CoV-2 variants