Background: Survival is variable in patients with glioblastoma IDH wild-type (GBM), even after comparable surgical resection of radiographically-detectable disease, highlighting the limitations of radiographic assessment of infiltrative tumor anatomy. The majority of post-surgical progressive events are failures within 2cm of the resection margin, motivating supramaximal resection strategies to improve local control. However, which patients benefit from such radical resections remains unknown.
Methods: We developed a predictive model to identify which IDH wild-type GBM are amenable to radiographic gross total resection (GTR). We then investigated whether GBM survival heterogeneity following GTR is correlated with microscopic tumor burden a by analyzing tumor cell content at the surgical margin with a rapid qPCR-based method for detection of TERT promoter mutation.
Results: Our predictive model for achievable GTR, developed on retrospective radiographic and molecular data of GBM patients undergoing resection, had an AUC of 0.83, sensitivity of 62%, and specificity of 90%. Prospective analysis of this model in 44 patients found 89% of patients were correctly predicted to achieve a RV<4.9cc. Of the 44 prospective patients undergoing rapid qPCR TERT promoter mutation analysis at the surgical margin, 7 had undetectable TERT mutation, of which 5 also had a gross total resection (RV<1cc). In these 5 patients at 30 months follow up, 75% showed no progression, compared to 0% in the group with TERT mutations detected at the surgical margin (p=0.02).
Conclusions: These findings identify a subset of patients with GBM that may derive local control benefit from radical resection to undetectable molecular margins.
Keywords: GBM; TERT promoter; extent of resection; postoperative survival; supramaximal resection.
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