Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the global burden of disease database 2019

Hepatology. 2024 Apr 8. doi: 10.1097/HEP.0000000000000872. Online ahead of print.

Abstract

Objective: The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms.

Methods: This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex.

Results: The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million DALYs in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010-2019. More than half of countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change [APC] +0.87%, 95% confidence interval 0.70-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (APC +0.21%, 95% confidence interval 0.01-0.42%). Limitations of the GBD database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption.

Conclusion: Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.