Estimating the point accuracy of population registers using capture-recapture methods in Scotland

J Epidemiol Community Health. 1996 Feb;50(1):99-103. doi: 10.1136/jech.50.1.99.

Abstract

Study objective: To estimate the point accuracy of adult registration on the community health index (CHI) by comparing it with the electoral register (ER) and the community charge register (CCR).

Design: Survey of overlapping samples from three registers to ascertain whether respondents were living at the addresses given on the registers, analysed by capture-recapture methods.

Setting: Aberdeen North and South parliamentary constituencies.

Participants: Random samples of adult registrants aged at least 18 years from the CHI (n = 1000), ER (n = 998), and CCR (n = 956).

Main results: Estimated sensitivities (the proportions of the target population registered at the address where they live) were: CHI--84.6% (95% confidence limits 82.4%, 86.7%); ER--90.0% (87.5%, 92.5%), and CCR--87.7% (85.3%, 90.3%). Positive predictive values (the proportions of registrants who were living at their stated addresses) were: CHI--84.6% (82.2%, 87.0%); ER--94.0% (90.9%, 97.1%), and CCR--93.7% (91.7%, 95.7%).

Conclusions: The CHI assessed in this study was significantly less sensitive and predictive than the corresponding ER and CCR. Capture-recapture methods are effective in assessing the accuracy of population registers.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Confidence Intervals
  • Data Collection / methods
  • Demography*
  • Humans
  • Medical Records Systems, Computerized
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Random Allocation
  • Registries / standards*
  • Scotland
  • Sensitivity and Specificity
  • Sentinel Surveillance*