Objective: To describe survival after a CD4+ T-cell count of less than 5 x 10(6)/l and to identify possible baseline factors associated with outcome.
Design: A prospective cohort study.
Setting: A large teaching hospital in North London.
Patients and participants: Patients treated at the Royal Free Hospital, London, who had at least one reported CD4+ T-cell count of less than 5 x 10(6)/l and were being followed up for clinical care prior to the date of this cell count.
Main outcome measure: Death.
Methods: Proportional hazards models, Kaplan-Meier analysis.
Results: One-hundred and sixty-nine patients were included in the study. The median survival after a very low CD4+ T-cell count was 0.95 years (95% confidence interval, 0.78-1.19), although 20% survived for over 2 years. Older age and a previous AIDS diagnosis were related to poorer outcome. A higher CD8+ T-cell count at baseline was also associated with a better prognosis.
Conclusions: A CD4+ T-cell count of less than 5 x 10(6)/l did not necessarily mean imminent death, with a median survival after this count of just under 1 year. These results will enable clinicians to provide appropriate counselling for patients at this late stage and to plan terminal care.