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Predicting and reasoning about replicability using structured groups.
Wintle BC, Smith ET, Bush M, Mody F, Wilkinson DP, Hanea AM, Marcoci A, Fraser H, Hemming V, Thorn FS, McBride MF, Gould E, Head A, Hamilton DG, Kambouris S, Rumpff L, Hoekstra R, Burgman MA, Fidler F. Wintle BC, et al. Among authors: hanea am. R Soc Open Sci. 2023 Jun 7;10(6):221553. doi: 10.1098/rsos.221553. eCollection 2023 Jun. R Soc Open Sci. 2023. PMID: 37293358 Free PMC article.
Predicting reliability through structured expert elicitation with the repliCATS (Collaborative Assessments for Trustworthy Science) process.
Fraser H, Bush M, Wintle BC, Mody F, Smith ET, Hanea AM, Gould E, Hemming V, Hamilton DG, Rumpff L, Wilkinson DP, Pearson R, Singleton Thorn F, Ashton R, Willcox A, Gray CT, Head A, Ross M, Groenewegen R, Marcoci A, Vercammen A, Parker TH, Hoekstra R, Nakagawa S, Mandel DR, van Ravenzwaaij D, McBride M, Sinnott RO, Vesk P, Burgman M, Fidler F. Fraser H, et al. Among authors: hanea am. PLoS One. 2023 Jan 26;18(1):e0274429. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0274429. eCollection 2023. PLoS One. 2023. PMID: 36701303 Free PMC article.
Mathematically aggregating experts' predictions of possible futures.
Hanea AM, Wilkinson DP, McBride M, Lyon A, van Ravenzwaaij D, Singleton Thorn F, Gray C, Mandel DR, Willcox A, Gould E, Smith ET, Mody F, Bush M, Fidler F, Fraser H, Wintle BC. Hanea AM, et al. PLoS One. 2021 Sep 2;16(9):e0256919. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0256919. eCollection 2021. PLoS One. 2021. PMID: 34473784 Free PMC article.
What is a Good Calibration Question?
Hemming V, Hanea AM, Burgman MA. Hemming V, et al. Among authors: hanea am. Risk Anal. 2022 Feb;42(2):264-278. doi: 10.1111/risa.13725. Epub 2021 Apr 16. Risk Anal. 2022. PMID: 33864272
Weighting and aggregating expert ecological judgments.
Hemming V, Hanea AM, Walshe T, Burgman MA. Hemming V, et al. Among authors: hanea am. Ecol Appl. 2020 Jun;30(4):e02075. doi: 10.1002/eap.2075. Epub 2020 Mar 23. Ecol Appl. 2020. PMID: 31971641
12 results