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Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations.
Mathis SM, Webber AE, León TM, Murray EL, Sun M, White LA, Brooks LC, Green A, Hu AJ, McDonald DJ, Rosenfeld R, Shemetov D, Tibshirani RJ, Kandula S, Pei S, Shaman J, Yaari R, Yamana TK, Agarwal P, Balusu S, Gururajan G, Kamarthi H, Prakash BA, Raman R, Rodríguez A, Zhao Z, Meiyappan A, Omar S, Baccam P, Gurung HL, Stage SA, Suchoski BT, Ajelli M, Kummer AG, Litvinova M, Ventura PC, Wadsworth S, Niemi J, Carcelen E, Hill AL, Jung SM, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Loo SL, McKee CD, Sato K, Smith C, Truelove S, McAndrew T, Ye W, Bosse N, Hlavacek WS, Lin YT, Mallela A, Chen Y, Lamm SM, Lee J, Posner RG, Perofsky AC, Viboud C, Clemente L, Lu F, Meyer AG, Santillana M, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Piontti APY, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Ben-Nun M, Riley P, Turtle J, Hulme-Lowe C, Jessa S, Nagraj VP, Turner SD, Williams D, Basu A, Drake JM, Fox SJ, Gibson GC, Suez E, Thommes EW, Cojocaru MG, Cramer EY, Gerding A, Stark A, Ray EL, Reich NG, Shandross L, Wattanachit N, Wang Y, Zorn MW, Al Aawar M, Srivastava A, Meyers LA, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis BL, Marathe M, Venkatramanan S, Butler P, Farabow A, Muralidhar N, Ramakrishnan N, Reed C, Biggerstaff M, Borchering RK. Mathis SM, et al. Among authors: ray el. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2023 Dec 11:2023.12.08.23299726. doi: 10.1101/2023.12.08.23299726. medRxiv. 2023. PMID: 38168429 Free PMC article. Preprint.
A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States.
Reich NG, Brooks LC, Fox SJ, Kandula S, McGowan CJ, Moore E, Osthus D, Ray EL, Tushar A, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: ray el. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):3146-3154. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812594116. Epub 2019 Jan 15. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 30647115 Free PMC article.
Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016.
McGowan CJ, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Apfeldorf KM, Ben-Nun M, Brooks L, Convertino M, Erraguntla M, Farrow DC, Freeze J, Ghosh S, Hyun S, Kandula S, Lega J, Liu Y, Michaud N, Morita H, Niemi J, Ramakrishnan N, Ray EL, Reich NG, Riley P, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Vespignani A, Zhang Q, Reed C; Influenza Forecasting Working Group. McGowan CJ, et al. Among authors: ray el. Sci Rep. 2019 Jan 24;9(1):683. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-36361-9. Sci Rep. 2019. PMID: 30679458 Free PMC article.
An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics.
Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP. Johansson MA, et al. Among authors: ray el. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019 Nov 26;116(48):24268-24274. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1909865116. Epub 2019 Nov 11. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2019. PMID: 31712420 Free PMC article.
Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.
Reich NG, McGowan CJ, Yamana TK, Tushar A, Ray EL, Osthus D, Kandula S, Brooks LC, Crawford-Crudell W, Gibson GC, Moore E, Silva R, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. Reich NG, et al. Among authors: ray el. PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Nov 22;15(11):e1007486. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486. eCollection 2019 Nov. PLoS Comput Biol. 2019. PMID: 31756193 Free PMC article.
Evaluating epidemic forecasts in an interval format.
Bracher J, Ray EL, Gneiting T, Reich NG. Bracher J, et al. Among authors: ray el. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Feb 12;17(2):e1008618. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008618. eCollection 2021 Feb. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021. PMID: 33577550 Free PMC article.
30 results