Ultrasonographic cervical length screening at 20-24 weeks of gestation in twin pregnancies for prediction of spontaneous preterm birth: A 10-year Taiwanese cohort

PLoS One. 2023 Oct 5;18(10):e0292533. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0292533. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Background: Shortened cervical length is one of the primary predictors for spontaneous preterm deliveries in twin pregnancies. However, there is lack of consensus regarding cut-off values. Recent evidence highlights that established cut-offs for cervical length screening might not always apply across different populations. This study aims to present the distribution of cervical length in Taiwanese twin pregnancies and to assess its predictive value for spontaneous preterm birth during mid-trimester screening.

Materials and methods: This retrospective analysis of cervical length screening in Taiwan evaluated 469 twin pregnancies between 20-24 weeks of gestation. Outcome data were obtained directly from the medical records of the delivery hospital. The study explored the predictive value of cervical length screening for spontaneous preterm birth and the characteristics of cervical length distribution in Taiwanese twin pregnancies.

Results: The average gestational age at screening was 22.7 weeks. Cervical length values displayed a non-normal distribution (p-value <0.001). The median, 5th and 95th centiles were 37.5 mm 25.1 mm, and 47.9 mm, respectively. Various cut-off values were assessed using different methods, yielding positive [negative] likelihood ratios for spontaneous preterm births between 32-37 weeks of gestational age (GA) (1.3-30.1 and [0.51-0.92]) and for very preterm births between 28-32 weeks GA (5.6-51.1 and [0.45-0.64]).

Conclusions: The findings from our analysis of Taiwanese twin pregnancies uphold the moderate predictive potential of cervical length screening, consistent with prior investigations. The presented likelihood ratios for predicting preterm birth at different gestational ages equip clinicians with valuable tools to enhance their diagnostic rationale and resource utilization. By fine-tuning screening parameters according to the spontaneous preterm birth prevalence and clinical priorities of the particular population, healthcare providers can enhance patient care. Our data implies that a cervical length below 20 mm might provide an optimal balance between minimizing false negatives and managing false positives when predicting spontaneous preterm birth.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Cervical Length Measurement / methods
  • Cervix Uteri / diagnostic imaging
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Pregnancy
  • Pregnancy, Twin
  • Premature Birth* / diagnostic imaging
  • Premature Birth* / epidemiology
  • Retrospective Studies

Grants and funding

This study was funded by Taiwan Institute of Fetal Medicine (Taiwan Registered Non-profit Organization 1080280906). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.