Background: Risk factors for short-term mortality after coronary artery bypass grafting are well established, but little is known about risk factors for intermediate-term mortality.
Methods: We analyzed the outcomes of 11,815 patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting in one of the 43 cardiac surgery programs of the Department of Veteran Affairs. Risk factors for intermediate- and short-term mortality were determined using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Effects of risk factors during these two periods were explicitly compared.
Results: We found important differences in mortality risk-factor sets between the intermediate- and short-term periods after coronary artery bypass grafting. The majority of predictors of intermediate-term mortality were noncardiac-related variables, whereas the majority of predictors of short-term mortality were cardiac-related variables. Impaired functional status, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and renal dysfunction had greater effects in the intermediate-term period. Previous heart operation, angina class III or IV, previous myocardial infarction, and preoperative use of an intraaortic balloon pump had greater effects in the short-term period.
Conclusions: The risk factors for intermediate-term mortality identified in this study can augment preoperative risk assessment and counseling of patients. Clinicians should be aware of the importance of noncardiac-related variables as predictors of mortality in the intermediate-term period after coronary artery bypass grafting.