Estimating the cost-effectiveness of pre-exposure prophylaxis to reduce HIV-1 and HSV-2 incidence in HIV-serodiscordant couples in South Africa

PLoS One. 2015 Jan 23;10(1):e0115511. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0115511. eCollection 2015.

Abstract

Objective: To estimate the cost-effectiveness of daily oral tenofovir-based PrEP, with a protective effect against HSV-2 as well as HIV-1, among HIV-1 serodiscordant couples in South Africa.

Methods: We incorporated HSV-2 acquisition, transmission, and interaction with HIV-1 into a microsimulation model of heterosexual HIV-1 serodiscordant couples in South Africa, with use of PrEP for the HIV-1 uninfected partner prior to ART initiation for the HIV-1 1infected partner, and for one year thereafter.

Results: We estimate the cost per disability-adjusted life-year (DALY) averted for two scenarios, one in which PrEP has no effect on reducing HSV-2 acquisition, and one in which there is a 33% reduction. After a twenty-year intervention, the cost per DALY averted is estimated to be $10,383 and $9,757, respectively--a 6% reduction, given the additional benefit of reduced HSV-2 acquisition. If all couples are discordant for both HIV-1 and HSV-2, the cost per DALY averted falls to $1,445, which shows that the impact is limited by HSV-2 concordance in couples.

Conclusion: After a 20-year PrEP intervention, the cost per DALY averted with a reduction in HSV-2 is estimated to be modestly lower than without any effect, providing an increase of health benefits in addition to HIV-1 prevention at no extra cost. The small degree of the effect is in part due to a high prevalence of HSV-2 infection in HIV-1 serodiscordant couples in South Africa.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adenine / analogs & derivatives
  • Adenine / therapeutic use
  • Anti-HIV Agents / therapeutic use
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis*
  • Couples Therapy / economics*
  • Family Characteristics
  • Female
  • HIV Seropositivity / drug therapy*
  • HIV Seropositivity / economics
  • HIV Seropositivity / epidemiology
  • HIV Seroprevalence*
  • HIV-1
  • HIV-2
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Organophosphonates / therapeutic use
  • Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis / economics*
  • South Africa
  • Tenofovir

Substances

  • Anti-HIV Agents
  • Organophosphonates
  • Tenofovir
  • Adenine