Investigating the immunizing effect of the rubella epidemic in Japan, 2012-14

Int J Infect Dis. 2015 Sep:38:16-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2015.07.006. Epub 2015 Jul 14.

Abstract

Objectives: A rubella epidemic occurred in Japan from 2012-14, involving more than 15,000 cases. The present study aimed to estimate the immunizing effect of the epidemic, analyzing seroepidemiological data that were collected over time and age.

Methods: Annual nationwide cross-sectional surveys were conducted from July to September, collecting serum from at least 5,400 individuals. The proportions seropositive were estimated before (2012), during (2013) and after (2014) the epidemic.

Results: While the cases were mainly seen among men aged from 30-49 years, no significant increase was observed in the proportion seropositive in the corresponding age group. Even after the epidemic, age-standardized proportion seropositive of the total population remained 79.3% (95% confidence interval (CI): 75.2, 83.4) and that among males was as small as 76.7% (95% CI: 73.8, 79.6).

Conclusions: Susceptible pockets remain in Japan, exposing the country to risk of additional rubella epidemics.

Keywords: Japan; epidemic; rubella; seroepidemiologic studies; vaccination.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adolescent
  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Epidemics*
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Infant, Newborn
  • Japan / epidemiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Rubella / epidemiology*
  • Seroepidemiologic Studies
  • Young Adult