Duration of Ebola virus RNA persistence in semen of survivors: population-level estimates and projections

Euro Surveill. 2015;20(48):30083. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2015.20.48.30083.

Abstract

Ebola virus can persist in semen after recovery, potentially for months, which may impact the duration of enhanced surveillance required after interruption of transmission. We combined recent data on viral RNA persistence with weekly disease incidence to estimate the current number of semen-positive men in affected West African countries. We find the number is low, and since few reported sexual transmission events have occurred, the future risk is also likely low, although sexual health promotion remains critical.

Keywords: Ebola virus; epidemiology; outbreaks; public health policy; sexually transmitted infections; surveillance.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Africa, Western / epidemiology
  • Convalescence*
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Ebolavirus / genetics
  • Ebolavirus / pathogenicity*
  • Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola / epidemiology*
  • Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola / prevention & control
  • Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola / transmission
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Male
  • Models, Statistical
  • RNA, Viral / analysis*
  • Risk Factors
  • Semen / virology*
  • Sentinel Surveillance
  • Survivors

Substances

  • RNA, Viral