Cost-effectiveness analysis of different systolic blood pressure targets for people with a history of stroke or transient ischaemic attack: Economic analysis of the PAST-BP study

Eur J Prev Cardiol. 2016 Oct;23(15):1590-8. doi: 10.1177/2047487316651982. Epub 2016 May 25.

Abstract

Background: The PAST-BP trial found that using a lower systolic blood pressure target (<130 mmHg or lower versus <140 mmHg) in a primary care population with prevalent cerebrovascular disease was associated with a small additional reduction in blood pressure (2.9 mmHg).

Objectives: To determine the cost effectiveness of an intensive systolic blood pressure target (<130 mmHg or lower) compared with a standard target (<140 mmHg) in people with a history of stroke or transient ischaemic attack on general practice stroke/transient ischaemic attack registers in England.

Methods: A Markov model with a one-year time cycle and a 30-year time horizon was used to estimate the cost per quality-adjusted life year of an intensive target versus a standard target. Individual patient level data were used from the PAST-BP trial with regard to change in blood pressure and numbers of primary care consultations over a 12-month period. Published sources were used to estimate life expectancy and risks of cardiovascular events and their associated costs and utilities.

Results: In the base-case results, aiming for an intensive blood pressure target was dominant, with the incremental lifetime costs being £169 lower per patient than for the standard blood pressure target with a 0.08 quality-adjusted life year gain. This was robust to sensitivity analyses, unless intensive blood pressure lowering reduced quality of life by 2% or more.

Conclusion: Aiming for a systolic blood pressure target of <130 mmHg or lower is cost effective in people who have had a stroke/transient ischaemic attack in the community, but it is difficult to separate out the impact of the lower target from the impact of more active management of blood pressure.

Keywords: Hypertension; blood pressure target; cost effectiveness; decision analysis; decision model; stroke; transient ischaemic attack.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Randomized Controlled Trial
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Antihypertensive Agents / therapeutic use*
  • Blood Pressure / drug effects*
  • Blood Pressure / physiology
  • Costs and Cost Analysis
  • Decision Support Techniques
  • England / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Hypertension / complications
  • Hypertension / drug therapy*
  • Hypertension / physiopathology
  • Incidence
  • Ischemic Attack, Transient / economics
  • Ischemic Attack, Transient / epidemiology*
  • Ischemic Attack, Transient / etiology
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Models, Economic*
  • Primary Health Care / economics*
  • Prognosis
  • Quality-Adjusted Life Years
  • Stroke / epidemiology*
  • Stroke / etiology
  • Stroke / prevention & control
  • Survival Rate / trends

Substances

  • Antihypertensive Agents