Some practical considerations in three-arm non-inferiority trial design

Pharm Stat. 2016 Nov;15(6):550-559. doi: 10.1002/pst.1779. Epub 2016 Sep 29.

Abstract

Non-inferiority trials aim to demonstrate whether an experimental therapy is not unacceptably worse than an active reference therapy already in use. When applicable, a three-arm non-inferiority trial, including an experiment therapy, an active reference therapy, and a placebo, is often recommended to assess assay sensitivity and internal validity of a trial. In this paper, we share some practical considerations based on our experience from a phase III three-arm non-inferiority trial. First, we discuss the determination of the total sample size and its optimal allocation based on the overall power of the non-inferiority testing procedure and provide ready-to-use R code for implementation. Second, we consider the non-inferiority goal of 'capturing all possibilities' and show that it naturally corresponds to a simple two-step testing procedure. Finally, using this two-step non-inferiority testing procedure as an example, we compare extensively commonly used frequentist p -value methods with the Bayesian posterior probability approach. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Keywords: Bayesian; frequentist; non-inferiority; optimal allocation; three-arm design.

MeSH terms

  • Bayes Theorem*
  • Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic / methods*
  • Humans
  • Probability
  • Research Design*
  • Sample Size