International risk of yellow fever spread from the ongoing outbreak in Brazil, December 2016 to May 2017

Euro Surveill. 2017 Jul 13;22(28):30572. doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.28.30572.

Abstract

States in south-eastern Brazil were recently affected by the largest Yellow Fever (YF) outbreak seen in a decade in Latin America. Here we provide a quantitative assessment of the risk of travel-related international spread of YF indicating that the United States, Argentina, Uruguay, Spain, Italy and Germany may have received at least one travel-related YF case capable of seeding local transmission. Mitigating the risk of imported YF cases seeding local transmission requires heightened surveillance globally.

Keywords: Brazil; outbreak; travel-related international spread; yellow fever.

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Argentina
  • Brazil / epidemiology
  • Disease Outbreaks / prevention & control*
  • Germany
  • Global Health
  • Humans
  • Insect Vectors
  • Italy
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Risk Factors
  • Risk*
  • Spain
  • Travel*
  • United States
  • Uruguay
  • Yellow Fever / epidemiology
  • Yellow Fever / prevention & control*
  • Yellow Fever / transmission*
  • Yellow Fever Vaccine / therapeutic use
  • Yellow fever virus / isolation & purification*
  • Yellow fever virus / pathogenicity*

Substances

  • Yellow Fever Vaccine