A New Preoperative Prognostic System Combining CRP and CA199 For Patients with Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Clin Transl Gastroenterol. 2017 Oct 5;8(10):e118. doi: 10.1038/ctg.2017.45.

Abstract

Objectives: In this study, we aimed at investigating the preoperatively available prognostic factors for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) patients and proposing a new preoperative prognostic scoring system for ICC.

Methods: A total of 246 consecutive ICC patients who underwent curative hepatectomy were enrolled retrospectively and were randomly divided into training (n=164) and validation cohorts (n=82) at a ratio of 2:1. The prognostic factors were investigated in both cohorts using multivariate Cox's proportional hazards regression model.

Results: Multivariate analyses identified that two preoperative factors (serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels >4.1 mg/l (hazard ratio (HR): 2.75, 95% CI: 1.65-4.73, P<0.001) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) levels >300 mg/ml (HR: 3.76, 95% CI: 2.18-6.49)) were independent prognostic factors for postoperative survival in the training cohort. The results were further confirmed in the validation cohort. On the basis of these data, a preoperative prognostic score (PPS) was established by allocating 0 or 1 point to the two factors, respectively. Then, both in the training and validation cohorts, the PPS showed the power to stratify patients into three distinct groups (groups with scores 2, 1, and 0) with significant difference in the risk of postoperative death.

Conclusions: A new preoperative scoring system consisting of preoperative CRP and CA19-9 levels could effectively predict postoperative survival of ICC patients.