Predicting mortality in patients undergoing VA-ECMO after coronary artery bypass grafting: the REMEMBER score

Crit Care. 2019 Jan 11;23(1):11. doi: 10.1186/s13054-019-2307-y.

Abstract

Background: Prediction scoring systems for coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) patients on venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) have not yet been reported. This study was designed to develop a predictive score for in-hospital mortality for cardiogenic shock patients who received VA-ECMO after isolated CABG.

Methods: Retrospective cohort study of consecutive CABG patients supported with VA-ECMO (n = 166) at the Beijing Anzhen Hospital between February 2004 and March 2017.

Results: One hundred and six patients (64%) could be weaned from VA-ECMO, and 74 patients (45%) survived to hospital discharge. On the basis of multivariable logistic regression analyses, the pRedicting mortality in patients undergoing veno-arterial Extracorporeal MEMBrane oxygenation after coronary artEry bypass gRafting (REMEMBER) score was created with six pre-ECMO parameters: older age, left main coronary artery disease, inotropic score > 75, CK-MB > 130 IU/L, serum creatinine > 150 umol/L, and platelet count < 100 × 109/L. Four risk classes, namely class I (REMEMBER score 0-13), class II (14-19), class III (20-25), and class IV (> 25) with their corresponding mortality (13%, 55%, 70%, and 94%, respectively), were identified. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.85(95% CI 0.79-0.91) for the REMEMBER score was better than those for the SOFA, SAVE, EuroSCORE, and ENCOURAGE scores in this population.

Conclusions: The REMEMBER score might help clinicians at bedside to predict in-hospital mortality for patients receiving VA-ECMO after isolated CABG for refractory cardiogenic shock. Prospective studies are needed to externally validate this scoring system.

Keywords: Cardiogenic shock; Coronary artery bypass grafting; Mortality; Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation; pRedicting mortality in patients undergoing veno-arterial Extracorporeal MEMBrane oxygenation after coronary artEry bypass gRafting (REMEMBER) score.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Area Under Curve
  • Cohort Studies
  • Coronary Artery Bypass / statistics & numerical data*
  • Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation / methods
  • Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation / mortality*
  • Female
  • Forecasting / methods*
  • Hospital Mortality
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Organ Dysfunction Scores
  • Prospective Studies
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Shock, Cardiogenic / mortality
  • Shock, Cardiogenic / therapy