Background: The early mitral inflow velocity to mitral early diastolic velocity ratio (E/e') and electrocardiogram (ECG) determination of QRS score are useful for risk stratification in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).Methods and Results:In this study, 420 consecutive patients (357 male; mean [±SD] age 63.6±12.2 years) with first-time STEMI who successfully underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention within 12 h of symptom onset were followed-up for 5 years (median follow-up 67 months). Echocardiography, ECG, and blood samples were obtained 2 weeks after onset. Infarct size was estimated by the QRS score after 2 weeks (QRS-2wks) and creatine phosphokinase-MB concentrations (peak and area under the curve). The primary endpoint was death from cardiac causes or rehospitalization for heart failure (HF). During follow-up, 21 patients died of cardiac causes and 62 had HF. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that mean E/e' (hazard ratio [HR] 1.152; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.088-1.215; P<0.0001), QRS-2wks (HR 1.153; 95% CI 1.057-1.254; P<0.0001), and hypertension (HR 1.702; 95% CI 1.040-2.888; P=0.03) were independent predictors of the primary endpoint. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that patients with QRS-2wks >4 and mean E/e' >14 were at an extremely high risk of cardiac death or HF (log rank, χ2=116.3, P<0.0001).
Conclusions: In patients with STEMI, a combination of QRS-2wks and mean E/e' was a simple but useful predictor of cardiac death and HF.
Keywords: Prognosis; QRS score; ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI); Tissue Doppler imaging.