Fast approximate inference for multivariate longitudinal data

Biostatistics. 2022 Dec 12;24(1):177-192. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxab021.

Abstract

Collecting information on multiple longitudinal outcomes is increasingly common in many clinical settings. In many cases, it is desirable to model these outcomes jointly. However, in large data sets, with many outcomes, computational burden often prevents the simultaneous modeling of multiple outcomes within a single model. We develop a mean field variational Bayes algorithm, to jointly model multiple Gaussian, Poisson, or binary longitudinal markers within a multivariate generalized linear mixed model. Through simulation studies and clinical applications (in the fields of sight threatening diabetic retinopathy and primary biliary cirrhosis), we demonstrate substantial computational savings of our approximate approach when compared to a standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo, while maintaining good levels of accuracy of model parameters.

Keywords: Bayesian computing; Generalized linear mixed model; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Mean field variational Bayes; Multivariate mixed models; Repeated measurements.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Algorithms*
  • Bayes Theorem
  • Humans
  • Markov Chains
  • Monte Carlo Method
  • Normal Distribution