Hepatic decompensation is accelerated in patients with cirrhosis and alpha-1 antitrypsin Pi∗MZ genotype

Abstract

Background & aims: Alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency is caused by mutations in SERPINA1, most commonly homozygosity for the Pi∗Z variant, and can present as liver disease. While heterozygosity for Pi∗Z (Pi∗MZ) is linked to increased risk of cirrhosis, whether the Pi∗MZ genotype is associated with an increased rate of decompensation among patients who already have compensated cirrhosis is not known.

Methods: This was a retrospective study of Michigan Genomics Initiative participants with baseline compensated cirrhosis. The primary predictors were Pi∗MZ or Pi∗MS genotype (vs. Pi∗MM). The primary outcomes were hepatic decompensation with ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or variceal bleeding, or the combined endpoint of liver-related death or liver transplant, both modeled with Fine-Gray competing risk models.

Results: We included 576 patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis who had undergone genotyping, of whom 474 had Pi∗MM, 49 had Pi∗MZ, and 52 had Pi∗MS genotypes. Compared to Pi∗MM genotype, Pi∗MZ was associated with increased rates of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio 1.81; 95% CI 1.22-2.69; p = 0.003) and liver transplant or liver-related death (hazard ratio 2.07; 95% CI 1.21-3.52; p = 0.078). These associations remained significant after adjustment for severity of underlying liver disease, and were robust across subgroup analyses based on etiology, sex, obesity, and diabetes status. Pi∗MS was not associated with decompensation or death/transplantation.

Conclusions: The SERPINA1 Pi∗MZ genotype is associated with an increased rate of hepatic decompensation and decreased transplant-free survival among patients with baseline compensated cirrhosis.

Lay summary: There is a mutation in the gene SERPINA1 called Pi∗MZ which increases risk of liver scarring (cirrhosis); however, it is not known what effect Pi∗MZ has if someone already has cirrhosis. In this study, we found that people who had cirrhosis and Pi∗MZ developed complications from cirrhosis faster than those who did not have the mutation.

Keywords: A1AT, alpha-1 antitrypsin; CSPH, clinically significant portal hypertension; Genetic epidemiology; HR, hazard ratio; MELD, model for end-stage liver disease; MGI, Michigan Genomics Initiative; NAFLD, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease; VCTE, vibration-controlled transient elastography; competing risk; single nucleotide polymorphism; survival analysis.