Background: Delayed graft function (DGF) is one of the most common postoperative complications after kidney transplantation. The ability to predict DGF after transplantation can greatly aid clinical decision-making. Several models have been proposed to predict DGF in adult recipients of adult donor kidneys, but there is currently no model to predict DGF in adult recipients of pediatric donor transplants. Therefore, based on our medical records, we retrospectively investigated the pretransplant risk factors of DGF in transplants from pediatric donors to adult recipients.
Methods: Our center is in compliance with national laws, the Declaration of Istanbul, and the Helsinki Congress. The donors used by us were organs donated after the death of citizens and the participants were neither paid nor coerced. A retrospective review of 84 adult patients who received pediatric donor kidneys at a single center from April 4, 2015 to November 17, 2021 was conducted to investigate the pretransplant risk factors for the development of DGF.
Results: DGF was observed in 45 of 68 patients (66.17%) in the training group and 9 of 16 patients (56.25%) in the validation group. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that kidney donor profile index, cold ischemia time, number of human leukocyte antigen mismatches, and pretransplant dialysis duration were significant independent risk factors for DGF. By integrating these 4 factors, we constructed a nomogram model to predict DGF. According to the prediction model, the area under the curve of DGF of the training group and validation group was 0.899 and 0.905, respectively.
Conclusion: We have constructed a novel, reliable, and accurate visual nomogram that provides a practical tool for predicting DGF in adult recipients of pediatric donor kidneys.
Copyright © 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.