Background: The upper limits of normal (ULNs) of ALT are not consistent across the major international guidelines which may affect the eligibility for antiviral therapy for chronic hepatitis B (CHB).
Aim: To estimate the proportions of histological changes among treatment-naïve patients with CHB within differently defined ALT ULNs.
Methods: We searched PubMed and Embase up to May 15th, 2023, to identify studies of treatment-naïve CHB patients with liver biopsies. We pooled proportions of moderate to severe necroinflammation, significant fibrosis, and cirrhosis in those patients within different ALT ULNs by using random-effect models.
Results: We included 23 studies with 4010 participants. Within ALT ULN at 40 IU/L, the pooled proportions of moderate to severe necroinflammation, significant fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 33% (95% CI: 26%-42%), 32% (95% CI: 27%-38%), and 3% (95% CI: 1%-5%), respectively. Within ALT ULN at 30 IU/L for men and 19 IU/L for women, the pooled proportion of significant fibrosis remained at 30% (95% CI: 25%-34%; 432 participants). However, it was 21% (95% CI: 11%-37%; 361 participants) even in those within ALT ULN at 20 IU/L. Subgroup analyses suggested a significantly higher proportion of significant fibrosis among studies with prospective design or enrolled patients' mean age >35 or >40 years.
Conclusions: Significant histological changes occurred in approximately 1/3 of treatment-naïve CHB patients within ALT ULN at 40 IU/L, whereas the proportion of significant fibrosis was approximately 1/5 even in those within ALT ULN at 20 IU/L.
Keywords: chronic hepatitis B; meta-analysis; normal alanine aminotransferase; proportion; significant histological change; systematic review; treatment-naïve.
© 2023 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.