Recipient age influences survival after liver transplant: Results of the French national cohort 2007-2017

Liver Int. 2024 Jun;44(6):1396-1408. doi: 10.1111/liv.15867. Epub 2024 Mar 7.

Abstract

Background: In recent years, age at liver transplantation (LT) has markedly increased. In the context of organ shortage, we investigated the impact of recipient age on post-transplantation mortality.

Methods: All adult patients who received a first LT between 2007 and 2017 were included in this cross-sectional study. Recipients' characteristics at the time of listing, donor and surgery data, post-operative complications and follow-up of vital status were retrieved from the national transplantation database. The impact of age on 5-year overall mortality post-LT was estimated using a flexible multivariable parametric model which was also used to estimate the association between age and 10-year net survival, accounting for expected age- and sex-related mortality.

Results: Among the 7610 patients, 21.4% were aged 60-65 years, and 15.7% over 65. With increasing age, comorbidities increased but severity of liver disease decreased. Older recipient age was associated with decreased observed survival at 5 years after LT (p < .001), with a significant effect particularly during the first 2 years. The linear increase in the risk of death associated with age does not allow any definition of an age's threshold for LT (p = .832). Other covariates associated with an increased risk of 5-year death were dialysis and mechanical ventilation at transplant, transfusion during LT, hepatocellular carcinoma and donor age. Ten-year flexible net survival analysis confirmed these results.

Conclusion: Although there was a selection process for older recipients, increasing age at LT was associated with an increased risk of death, particularly in the first years after LT.

Keywords: liver transplantation; mortality; survival.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Age Factors
  • Aged
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • End Stage Liver Disease / mortality
  • End Stage Liver Disease / surgery
  • Female
  • France / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Liver Transplantation* / mortality
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Postoperative Complications / mortality
  • Risk Factors
  • Survival Analysis
  • Transplant Recipients / statistics & numerical data