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Real-time Epidemic Forecasting: Challenges and Opportunities.
Desai AN, Kraemer MUG, Bhatia S, Cori A, Nouvellet P, Herringer M, Cohn EL, Carrion M, Brownstein JS, Madoff LC, Lassmann B. Desai AN, et al. Among authors: nouvellet p. Health Secur. 2019 Jul/Aug;17(4):268-275. doi: 10.1089/hs.2019.0022. Health Secur. 2019. PMID: 31433279 Free PMC article.
The role of rapid diagnostics in managing Ebola epidemics.
Nouvellet P, Garske T, Mills HL, Nedjati-Gilani G, Hinsley W, Blake IM, Van Kerkhove MD, Cori A, Dorigatti I, Jombart T, Riley S, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM. Nouvellet P, et al. Nature. 2015 Dec 3;528(7580):S109-16. doi: 10.1038/nature16041. Nature. 2015. PMID: 26633764 Free PMC article.
A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence.
Nouvellet P, Cori A, Garske T, Blake IM, Dorigatti I, Hinsley W, Jombart T, Mills HL, Nedjati-Gilani G, Van Kerkhove MD, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM, Riley S. Nouvellet P, et al. Epidemics. 2018 Mar;22:29-35. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2017.02.012. Epub 2017 Feb 24. Epidemics. 2018. PMID: 28351674 Free PMC article.
Heterogeneities in the case fatality ratio in the West African Ebola outbreak 2013-2016.
Garske T, Cori A, Ariyarajah A, Blake IM, Dorigatti I, Eckmanns T, Fraser C, Hinsley W, Jombart T, Mills HL, Nedjati-Gilani G, Newton E, Nouvellet P, Perkins D, Riley S, Schumacher D, Shah A, Van Kerkhove MD, Dye C, Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA. Garske T, et al. Among authors: nouvellet p. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721):20160308. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0308. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017. PMID: 28396479 Free PMC article.
Key data for outbreak evaluation: building on the Ebola experience.
Cori A, Donnelly CA, Dorigatti I, Ferguson NM, Fraser C, Garske T, Jombart T, Nedjati-Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Riley S, Van Kerkhove MD, Mills HL, Blake IM. Cori A, et al. Among authors: nouvellet p. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017 May 26;372(1721):20160371. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2016.0371. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2017. PMID: 28396480 Free PMC article. Review.
Outbreak analytics: a developing data science for informing the response to emerging pathogens.
Polonsky JA, Baidjoe A, Kamvar ZN, Cori A, Durski K, Edmunds WJ, Eggo RM, Funk S, Kaiser L, Keating P, de Waroux OLP, Marks M, Moraga P, Morgan O, Nouvellet P, Ratnayake R, Roberts CH, Whitworth J, Jombart T. Polonsky JA, et al. Among authors: nouvellet p. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019 Jul 8;374(1776):20180276. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0276. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2019. PMID: 31104603 Free PMC article. Review.
SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China.
Thompson HA, Imai N, Dighe A, Ainslie KEC, Baguelin M, Bhatia S, Bhatt S, Boonyasiri A, Boyd O, Brazeau NF, Cattarino L, Cooper LV, Coupland H, Cucunuba Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Djaafara B, Dorigatti I, van Elsland S, FitzJohn R, Fu H, Gaythorpe KAM, Green W, Hallett T, Hamlet A, Haw D, Hayes S, Hinsley W, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon DJ, Lees J, Mangal TD, Mellan T, Mishra S, Mousa A, Nedjati-Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Okell L, Parag KV, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Riley S, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer M, Volz E, Walker PGT, Walters C, Wang H, Wang Y, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Whittles LK, Winskill P, Xi X, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM. Thompson HA, et al. Among authors: nouvellet p. J Travel Med. 2020 Dec 23;27(8):taaa135. doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaa135. J Travel Med. 2020. PMID: 32830853 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
Anonymised and aggregated crowd level mobility data from mobile phones suggests that initial compliance with COVID-19 social distancing interventions was high and geographically consistent across the UK.
Jeffrey B, Walters CE, Ainslie KEC, Eales O, Ciavarella C, Bhatia S, Hayes S, Baguelin M, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau NF, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, FitzJohn RG, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Imai N, Mellan TA, Mishra S, Nouvellet P, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer M, Whittaker C, Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA, Riley S. Jeffrey B, et al. Among authors: nouvellet p. Wellcome Open Res. 2020 Jul 17;5:170. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15997.1. eCollection 2020. Wellcome Open Res. 2020. PMID: 32954015 Free PMC article.
Response to COVID-19 in South Korea and implications for lifting stringent interventions.
Dighe A, Cattarino L, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Skarp J, Imai N, Bhatia S, Gaythorpe KAM, Ainslie KEC, Baguelin M, Bhatt S, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau NF, Cooper LV, Coupland H, Cucunuba Z, Dorigatti I, Eales OD, van Elsland SL, FitzJohn RG, Green WD, Haw DJ, Hinsley W, Knock E, Laydon DJ, Mellan T, Mishra S, Nedjati-Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Pons-Salort M, Thompson HA, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer MAC, Walters CE, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Whittles LK, Ghani AC, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM, Riley S. Dighe A, et al. Among authors: nouvellet p. BMC Med. 2020 Oct 9;18(1):321. doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01791-8. BMC Med. 2020. PMID: 33032601 Free PMC article.
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