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Using statistics and mathematical modelling to understand infectious disease outbreaks: COVID-19 as an example.
Overton CE, Stage HB, Ahmad S, Curran-Sebastian J, Dark P, Das R, Fearon E, Felton T, Fyles M, Gent N, Hall I, House T, Lewkowicz H, Pang X, Pellis L, Sawko R, Ustianowski A, Vekaria B, Webb L. Overton CE, et al. Among authors: fearon e. Infect Dis Model. 2020 Jul 4;5:409-441. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2020.06.008. eCollection 2020. Infect Dis Model. 2020. PMID: 32691015 Free PMC article.
Using a household-structured branching process to analyse contact tracing in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic.
Fyles M, Fearon E, Overton C; University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group; Wingfield T, Medley GF, Hall I, Pellis L, House T. Fyles M, et al. Among authors: fearon e. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021 Jul 19;376(1829):20200267. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0267. Epub 2021 May 31. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021. PMID: 34053253 Free PMC article.
Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions.
Pellis L, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Overton CE, Chappell LHK, Fearon E, Bennett E, Lythgoe KA, House TA, Hall I; University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group. Pellis L, et al. Among authors: fearon e. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021 Jul 19;376(1829):20200264. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0264. Epub 2021 May 31. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021. PMID: 34053267 Free PMC article.
SARS-CoV-2 antigen testing: weighing the false positives against the costs of failing to control transmission.
Fearon E, Buchan IE, Das R, Davis EL, Fyles M, Hall I, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Jay C, Medley GF, Pellis L, Quilty BJ, Silva MEP, Stage HB, Wingfield T. Fearon E, et al. Lancet Respir Med. 2021 Jul;9(7):685-687. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(21)00234-4. Epub 2021 Jun 14. Lancet Respir Med. 2021. PMID: 34139150 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics.
Kretzschmar ME, Ashby B, Fearon E, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Quaife M, Rozhnova G, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Swallow B, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Villela D. Kretzschmar ME, et al. Among authors: fearon e. Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100546. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100546. Epub 2022 Feb 11. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35183834 Free PMC article.
Improving modelling for epidemic responses: reflections from members of the UK infectious disease modelling community on their experiences during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Sherratt K, Carnegie AC, Kucharski A, Cori A, Pearson CAB, Jarvis CI, Overton C, Weston D, Hill EM, Knock E, Fearon E, Nightingale E, Hellewell J, Edmunds WJ, Villabona Arenas J, Prem K, Pi L, Baguelin M, Kendall M, Ferguson N, Davies N, Eggo RM, van Elsland S, Russell T, Funk S, Liu Y, Abbott S. Sherratt K, et al. Among authors: fearon e. Wellcome Open Res. 2024 Jan 8;9:12. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19601.1. eCollection 2024. Wellcome Open Res. 2024. PMID: 38784437 Free PMC article.
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