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Modeling the effect of exposure notification and non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 transmission in Washington state.
Abueg M, Hinch R, Wu N, Liu L, Probert W, Wu A, Eastham P, Shafi Y, Rosencrantz M, Dikovsky M, Cheng Z, Nurtay A, Abeler-Dörner L, Bonsall D, McConnell MV, O'Banion S, Fraser C. Abueg M, et al. Among authors: probert w. NPJ Digit Med. 2021 Mar 12;4(1):49. doi: 10.1038/s41746-021-00422-7. NPJ Digit Med. 2021. PMID: 33712693 Free PMC article.
OpenABM-Covid19-An agent-based model for non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 including contact tracing.
Hinch R, Probert WJM, Nurtay A, Kendall M, Wymant C, Hall M, Lythgoe K, Bulas Cruz A, Zhao L, Stewart A, Ferretti L, Montero D, Warren J, Mather N, Abueg M, Wu N, Legat O, Bentley K, Mead T, Van-Vuuren K, Feldner-Busztin D, Ristori T, Finkelstein A, Bonsall DG, Abeler-Dörner L, Fraser C. Hinch R, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Jul 12;17(7):e1009146. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009146. eCollection 2021 Jul. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021. PMID: 34252083 Free PMC article.
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 variant fitness and the impact of interventions in England using statistical and geo-spatial agent-based models.
Hinch R, Panovska-Griffiths J, Probert WJM, Ferretti L, Wymant C, Di Lauro F, Baya N, Ghafari M, Abeler-Dörner L; COVID-19 Genomics UK (COG-UK) Consortium; Fraser C. Hinch R, et al. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022 Oct 3;380(2233):20210304. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0304. Epub 2022 Aug 15. Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2022. PMID: 35965459 Free PMC article.
Projected outcomes of universal testing and treatment in a generalised HIV epidemic in Zambia and South Africa (the HPTN 071 [PopART] trial): a modelling study.
Probert WJM, Sauter R, Pickles M, Cori A, Bell-Mandla NF, Bwalya J, Abeler-Dörner L, Bock P, Donnell DJ, Floyd S, Macleod D, Piwowar-Manning E, Skalland T, Shanaube K, Wilson E, Yang B, Ayles H, Fidler S, Hayes RJ, Fraser C; HPTN 071 (PopART) Study Team. Probert WJM, et al. Lancet HIV. 2022 Nov;9(11):e771-e780. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3018(22)00259-4. Lancet HIV. 2022. PMID: 36332654 Free PMC article. Clinical Trial.
PopART-IBM, a highly efficient stochastic individual-based simulation model of generalised HIV epidemics developed in the context of the HPTN 071 (PopART) trial.
Pickles M, Cori A, Probert WJM, Sauter R, Hinch R, Fidler S, Ayles H, Bock P, Donnell D, Wilson E, Piwowar-Manning E, Floyd S, Hayes RJ, Fraser C; HPTN 071 (PopART) Study Team. Pickles M, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021 Sep 2;17(9):e1009301. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009301. eCollection 2021 Sep. PLoS Comput Biol. 2021. PMID: 34473700 Free PMC article.
Cost and cost-effectiveness of a universal HIV testing and treatment intervention in Zambia and South Africa: evidence and projections from the HPTN 071 (PopART) trial.
Thomas R, Probert WJM, Sauter R, Mwenge L, Singh S, Kanema S, Vanqa N, Harper A, Burger R, Cori A, Pickles M, Bell-Mandla N, Yang B, Bwalya J, Phiri M, Shanaube K, Floyd S, Donnell D, Bock P, Ayles H, Fidler S, Hayes RJ, Fraser C, Hauck K; HPTN 071 (PopART) study team. Thomas R, et al. Lancet Glob Health. 2021 May;9(5):e668-e680. doi: 10.1016/S2214-109X(21)00034-6. Epub 2021 Mar 12. Lancet Glob Health. 2021. PMID: 33721566 Free PMC article.
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling.
Swallow B, Birrell P, Blake J, Burgman M, Challenor P, Coffeng LE, Dawid P, De Angelis D, Goldstein M, Hemming V, Marion G, McKinley TJ, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Probert W, Shea K, Villela D, Vernon I. Swallow B, et al. Among authors: probert w. Epidemics. 2022 Mar;38:100547. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100547. Epub 2022 Feb 10. Epidemics. 2022. PMID: 35180542 Free PMC article.
Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks.
Probert WJM, Jewell CP, Werkman M, Fonnesbeck CJ, Goto Y, Runge MC, Sekiguchi S, Shea K, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ. Probert WJM, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 Jul 24;14(7):e1006202. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006202. eCollection 2018 Jul. PLoS Comput Biol. 2018. PMID: 30040815 Free PMC article.
86 results