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Page 1
Human judgement forecasting of COVID-19 in the UK.
Bosse NI, Abbott S, Bracher J, van Leeuwen E, Cori A, Funk S. Bosse NI, et al. Wellcome Open Res. 2024 Mar 21;8:416. doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.19380.2. eCollection 2023. Wellcome Open Res. 2024. PMID: 38618198 Free PMC article.
Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations.
Mathis SM, Webber AE, León TM, Murray EL, Sun M, White LA, Brooks LC, Green A, Hu AJ, McDonald DJ, Rosenfeld R, Shemetov D, Tibshirani RJ, Kandula S, Pei S, Shaman J, Yaari R, Yamana TK, Agarwal P, Balusu S, Gururajan G, Kamarthi H, Prakash BA, Raman R, Rodríguez A, Zhao Z, Meiyappan A, Omar S, Baccam P, Gurung HL, Stage SA, Suchoski BT, Ajelli M, Kummer AG, Litvinova M, Ventura PC, Wadsworth S, Niemi J, Carcelen E, Hill AL, Jung SM, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Loo SL, McKee CD, Sato K, Smith C, Truelove S, McAndrew T, Ye W, Bosse N, Hlavacek WS, Lin YT, Mallela A, Chen Y, Lamm SM, Lee J, Posner RG, Perofsky AC, Viboud C, Clemente L, Lu F, Meyer AG, Santillana M, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Piontti APY, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Ben-Nun M, Riley P, Turtle J, Hulme-Lowe C, Jessa S, Nagraj VP, Turner SD, Williams D, Basu A, Drake JM, Fox SJ, Gibson GC, Suez E, Thommes EW, Cojocaru MG, Cramer EY, Gerding A, Stark A, Ray EL, Reich NG, Shandross L, Wattanachit N, Wang Y, Zorn MW, Al Aawar M, Srivastava A, Meyers LA, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis BL, Marathe M, Venkatramanan S, Butler P, Farabow A, Muralidhar N, Ramakrishnan N, Reed C, Biggerstaff M, Borchering RK. Mathis SM, et al. Among authors: bosse n. medRxiv [Preprint]. 2023 Dec 11:2023.12.08.23299726. doi: 10.1101/2023.12.08.23299726. medRxiv. 2023. PMID: 38168429 Free PMC article. Preprint.
Scoring epidemiological forecasts on transformed scales.
Bosse NI, Abbott S, Cori A, van Leeuwen E, Bracher J, Funk S. Bosse NI, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2023 Aug 29;19(8):e1011393. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011393. eCollection 2023 Aug. PLoS Comput Biol. 2023. PMID: 37643178 Free PMC article.
Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations.
Sherratt K, Gruson H, Grah R, Johnson H, Niehus R, Prasse B, Sandmann F, Deuschel J, Wolffram D, Abbott S, Ullrich A, Gibson G, Ray EL, Reich NG, Sheldon D, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Wang L, Trnka J, Obozinski G, Sun T, Thanou D, Pottier L, Krymova E, Meinke JH, Barbarossa MV, Leithauser N, Mohring J, Schneider J, Wlazlo J, Fuhrmann J, Lange B, Rodiah I, Baccam P, Gurung H, Stage S, Suchoski B, Budzinski J, Walraven R, Villanueva I, Tucek V, Smid M, Zajicek M, Perez Alvarez C, Reina B, Bosse NI, Meakin SR, Castro L, Fairchild G, Michaud I, Osthus D, Alaimo Di Loro P, Maruotti A, Eclerova V, Kraus A, Kraus D, Pribylova L, Dimitris B, Li ML, Saksham S, Dehning J, Mohr S, Priesemann V, Redlarski G, Bejar B, Ardenghi G, Parolini N, Ziarelli G, Bock W, Heyder S, Hotz T, Singh DE, Guzman-Merino M, Aznarte JL, Morina D, Alonso S, Alvarez E, Lopez D, Prats C, Burgard JP, Rodloff A, Zimmermann T, Kuhlmann A, Zibert J, Pennoni F, Divino F, Catala M, Lovison G, Giudici P, Tarantino B, Bartolucci F, Jona Lasinio G, Mingione M, Farcomeni A, Srivastava A, Montero-Manso P, Adiga A, Hurt B, Lewis B, Marathe M, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Bartczuk RP, Dreger F, Gambin A, Gogolewski K, Gruziel… See abstract for full author list ➔ Sherratt K, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Elife. 2023 Apr 21;12:e81916. doi: 10.7554/eLife.81916. Elife. 2023. PMID: 37083521 Free PMC article.
National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021.
Bracher J, Wolffram D, Deuschel J, Görgen K, Ketterer JL, Ullrich A, Abbott S, Barbarossa MV, Bertsimas D, Bhatia S, Bodych M, Bosse NI, Burgard JP, Castro L, Fairchild G, Fiedler J, Fuhrmann J, Funk S, Gambin A, Gogolewski K, Heyder S, Hotz T, Kheifetz Y, Kirsten H, Krueger T, Krymova E, Leithäuser N, Li ML, Meinke JH, Miasojedow B, Michaud IJ, Mohring J, Nouvellet P, Nowosielski JM, Ozanski T, Radwan M, Rakowski F, Scholz M, Soni S, Srivastava A, Gneiting T, Schienle M. Bracher J, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Commun Med (Lond). 2022 Oct 31;2(1):136. doi: 10.1038/s43856-022-00191-8. Commun Med (Lond). 2022. PMID: 36352249 Free PMC article.
Comparing human and model-based forecasts of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland.
Bosse NI, Abbott S, Bracher J, Hain H, Quilty BJ, Jit M; Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group; van Leeuwen E, Cori A, Funk S. Bosse NI, et al. PLoS Comput Biol. 2022 Sep 19;18(9):e1010405. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010405. eCollection 2022 Sep. PLoS Comput Biol. 2022. PMID: 36121848 Free PMC article.
The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset.
Cramer EY, Huang Y, Wang Y, Ray EL, Cornell M, Bracher J, Brennen A, Rivadeneira AJC, Gerding A, House K, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mody V, Mody V, Niemi J, Stark A, Shah A, Wattanchit N, Zorn MW, Reich NG; US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium. Cramer EY, et al. Sci Data. 2022 Aug 1;9(1):462. doi: 10.1038/s41597-022-01517-w. Sci Data. 2022. PMID: 35915104 Free PMC article.
Early human judgment forecasts of human monkeypox, May 2022.
McAndrew T, Majumder MS, Lover AA, Venkatramanan S, Bocchini P, Besiroglu T, Codi A, Braun D, Dempsey G, Abbott S, Chevalier S, Bosse NI, Cambeiro J. McAndrew T, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Lancet Digit Health. 2022 Aug;4(8):e569-e571. doi: 10.1016/S2589-7500(22)00127-3. Epub 2022 Jul 7. Lancet Digit Health. 2022. PMID: 35811294 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States.
Ray EL, Brooks LC, Bien J, Biggerstaff M, Bosse NI, Bracher J, Cramer EY, Funk S, Gerding A, Johansson MA, Rumack A, Wang Y, Zorn M, Tibshirani RJ, Reich NG. Ray EL, et al. Among authors: bosse ni. Int J Forecast. 2023 Jul-Sep;39(3):1366-1383. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2022.06.005. Epub 2022 Jul 1. Int J Forecast. 2023. PMID: 35791416 Free PMC article.
66 results