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Challenges in control of COVID-19: short doubling time and long delay to effect of interventions.
Pellis L, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Overton CE, Chappell LHK, Fearon E, Bennett E, Lythgoe KA, House TA, Hall I; University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group. Pellis L, et al. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021 Jul 19;376(1829):20200264. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0264. Epub 2021 May 31. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021. PMID: 34053267 Free PMC article.
Outbreaks in care homes may lead to substantial disease burden if not mitigated.
Hall I, Lewkowicz H, Webb L, House T, Pellis L, Sedgwick J, Gent N; University of Manchester COVID-19 Modelling Group and the Public Health England Modelling Team. Hall I, et al. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021 Jul 19;376(1829):20200269. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0269. Epub 2021 May 31. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2021. PMID: 34053256 Free PMC article.